Pfizer sees FY25 adjusted EPS $2.80-$3.00, consensus $2.88

Sees FY25 revenue $61B-$64B, consensus $63.28B. Pfizer (PFE) anticipates full-year 2025 revenues to be in the range of $61.0 to $64.0 billion, which includes the expectation of revenues from our COVID-19 products in 2025 being largely consistent with 2024 after excluding approximately $1.2 billion of non-recurring revenue for Paxlovid in 2024. Pfizer expects full-year 2025 operational revenue growth, year-over-year, in a range of approximately flat to 5% from the midpoint of 2024 baseline guidance, which excludes 2024 non-recurring items. 2025 Revenue guidance takes into consideration the anticipated net unfavorable impact to revenue of approximately $1 billion, year-over-year, related to the Inflation Reduction Act Part D Redesign changes that take effect in 2025. The IRA makes significant changes to the Medicare Part D benefit design, which will impact Pfizer revenue in 2025, including: an expected favorable impact from the $2,000 annual out-of-pocket cap and new Prescription Payment Plan, more than offset by an expected unfavorable impact from the sunsetting of the Coverage Gap Discount Program and the addition of new manufacturer discounts in the initial and catastrophic coverage phases.

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