Double Digit Wheat Rally after Export Sales

The wheat futures rallied 1.8% to nearly 4% across the domestic classes on Tuesday. KC HRW futures led the way with 19 to 23 cent gains. Chicago futures were up by 11 cents. Spring wheat prices were 14 cents stronger at the close. 

Reports on the wire showed South Korea booked 95k MT of wheat via tender from U.S. and Canada. Taiwan also purchased 109,325 MT of U.S. wheat via tender. 

Estimates into the StatsCan Crop Production report show traders are looking for wheat output to come in at 31.1 MMT, between 29.3 and 32.3 MMT. Last year’s wheat production was 29.8 MMT, and USDA is currently using 31 MMT. By class, traders are looking for StatsCan to show 24 MMT for spring wheat and 4.1 for durum. 

Crop Progress data from Monday afternoon showed 91% of the US winter wheat crop now emerged. Condition ratings improved 5 points on the Brugler500 to 338. This will be the last national report for the year, though some states will still publish weekly/monthly updates throughout the winter months. 

Dec 23 CBOT Wheat  closed at $5.43 3/4, up 9 1/2 cents,

Mar 24 CBOT Wheat  closed at $5.72, up 11 cents,

Cash SRW Wheat  was $4.75 5/8, up 11 5/8 cents,

Dec 23 KCBT Wheat  closed at $6.13, up 23 cents,

Cash HRW Wheat  was $5.47 3/8, up 5 1/4 cents,

Dec 23 MGEX Wheat  closed at $6.94 1/2, up 10 cents,

On the date of publication, Alan Brugler did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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