AES Corporation AES is scheduled to release third-quarter 2024 earnings on Oct. 31, after market close.
Stay up-to-date with all quarterly releases: See Zacks Earnings Calendar.
This utility company delivered an earnings surprise of 5.56% in the last reported quarter.
The company’s trailing four-quarter earnings surprise is 19.18%, on average. Let’s discuss the factors that are likely to affect the upcoming quarterly results.
Factors to Consider Ahead of AES’ Results
AES’ service territories experienced above-normal temperature patterns for the majority of the third quarter. This is likely to have boosted electricity demand from its customers for cooling purposes this summer, which is expected to have contributed favorably to its quarterly revenues.
The AES Corporation Price and EPS Surprise
The AES Corporation price-eps-surprise | The AES Corporation Quote
However, some parts of its service areas witnessed severe rain and tornadoes, which are likely to have caused outages for AES’ customers. In particular, the Derecho windstorm affected the company’s operations in Indiana and caused notable grid damage and outages. This is likely to have adversely impacted the overall top-line performance to some extent.
Load growth in Indiana and Ohio driven by data center expansion, along with favorable rate outcomes in the prior quarters, is likely to have further supported the company’s revenue growth.
However, the aforementioned storm is likely to have caused some damages to AES’ grid infrastructure, which, in turn, are likely to have pushed up its operating expenses for restoration.
Higher operating expenses, along with increased depreciation and interest expense, are expected to have hurt its bottom-line performance.
Nevertheless, solid sales expectations, higher contribution from new renewable commissioning and continued margin expansion at its Fluence business are likely to have contributed favorably to the company’s overall earnings figure.
During the third quarter, AES launched an AI powered robot named “Maximo”, which enhances solar installation speed, efficiency and safety. This launch is expected to help meet growing renewable energy demand rapidly. It is also projected to have bolstered AES’ quarterly performance.
AES’ Q3 Expectation
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AES’ sales is pegged at $3.62 billion, which indicates year-over-year growth of 5.4%.
The consensus estimate for earnings is pegged at 60 cents per share, which is in line with the third quarter of 2023.
What Our Model Predicts for AES Energy
Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for AES this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is not the case here as seen below.
Earnings ESP: The company’s Earnings ESP is 0.00%. You can uncover the best stocks before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Zacks Rank: The company currently carries a Zacks Rank of 3.
Stocks to Consider
Here are some players from the same industry that have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings in the upcoming releases.
Eversource Energy ES is scheduled to report its third-quarter results on Nov. 4, after market close. It has an Earnings ESP of +6.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present. You can see the complete list of Zacks Rank #1 stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for sales is pegged at $3.05 billion, which indicates 9.3% growth from the year-ago quarter’s figure. The consensus estimate for earnings is pinned at $1.02 per share, which indicates year-over-year growth of 5.2%.
PG&E Corporation PCG is scheduled to report its third-quarter results on Nov. 7, before market open. It has an Earnings ESP of +17.24% and a Zacks Rank of 2 at present.
The consensus estimate for sales is pegged at $6.57 billion, which indicates an 11.6% improvement from the year-ago quarter’s figure. The consensus estimate for earnings is pinned at 29 cents per share, which indicates year-over-year growth of 20.8%.
Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. PEG is scheduled to report its third-quarter results on Nov. 4, before market open. It has an Earnings ESP of +0.07% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its sales is pegged at $2.51 billion, which indicates a 2.1% improvement from the year-ago quarter’s figure. The consensus estimate for earnings is pinned at 91 cents per share, which indicates year-over-year growth of 7.1%.
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The AES Corporation (AES) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Eversource Energy (ES) : Free Stock Analysis Report
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